Zero chance that Xi Jinping would allow himself to be potted plant at Donald Trump’s triumphal coronation. At the same time, ensuring that China extends enough courtesy to avoid bruising Trump’s ego,
It indicates that China is willing to talk, negotiate and make efforts to reach deals,
If Xi were to send Cai Qi, it would be taken as a signal that the Chinese value stability and good relations with the Trump administration,
The Chinese are quite keen to have a sense of what Trump’s administration will do, and having access to senior members, or indeed Trump himself, in order to make a better gauge,
We haven't had a senior Chinese envoy come to any of the inauguration,
If things don't turn out (well)... that's fine because he's the vice president, not somebody with any significant influence,
They (Beijing) don’t know the Trump team. They don’t know these players. They don’t know what people would say in the immediate aftermath of (Trump) meetings with Xi,
Trump can’t be trusted to stick to the script anyway,
It would be unprecedented for a leader of a major power like China (also a US rival), to actually intend to attend the inauguration,
Han Zheng stands in (for Xi) at international meetings that he decides not to attend - this is the role that the Chinese vice president plays in the leadership,
The Chinese also want to send a signal that (they) do not want to be seen as being unnecessarily problematic or difficult,
There could be a great deal of positive value in these interactions,
Sometimes, when Xi’s confidants have been used for high-level positions and missions, they have been targeted by foreign powers in order to embarrass Xi personally,
It’s most likely a thankless mission, much less an opportunity to create goodwill,
We are breaking precedent with this. In that sense, it's quite interesting.”
The Chinese have (traditionally) generally been very keen on (adhering to) protocol in diplomatic relations,
I certainly don't think there's any attempt to reset US-China relations for a very simple reason - given the kind of political climate right now in the US, it's difficult for any US politician, and certainly any US leader, to try to reset the relationship (with China),
I don’t expect anything concrete out of Han’s trip to Washington,
China has no established tradition of letting the president attend other heads of state’s inauguration ceremonies,
Some of the appointees by Trump seem hawkish on China but since they work for Trump, I don’t think they will override Trump’s policies,