If higher tariffs trigger a rerouting in trade, then U.S. price levels may not rise. For instance, higher taxes on Chinese goods previously led to an increase in imports from Vietnam, not hit by tariffs."
A more accurate measure of GDP would exclude government spending."
Both the Mexicans and the Canadians were on the phone with me all day today trying to show that they'll do better, and the president is listening because you know he's very, very fair and very reasonable. So, I think he's gonna work something out with them. It's not gonna be a pause. None of that pause stuff. But I think he's gonna figure out, you do more, and I'll meet you in the middle."
When you get a meaningful correction in risk assets from U.S. policy instability, that naturally translates into the relative outperformance of unloved assets,
Wall Street can continue to do fine but we have a focus on small business and the consumers,
Trump is really pouring gasoline on the fire in many cases by implementing across the board, indiscriminate tariffs,
There are a lot of storms out there and they’re getting darker and darker,
One of the biggest wins for the American people, since election day and since inauguration, mortgage rates have come down dramatically,
But for each passing day that he doesn’t and he doubles down, investors are growing more and more concerned,
The economic impact of a sustained 25-percent tariff on Canada and Mexico would be severe, with full tit-for-tat retaliation likely to push Canada and Mexico into a recession and the U.S. to a point of stagnant growth."
Businesses that rely on imported goods will suffer and could even shutter. People will lose their jobs as a result. The price of imported everyday items like household goods, appliances, cars and electronics will go up. Retaliatory tariffs will hurt American businesses that sell goods abroad."
Tariff wars, DOGE cuts to jobs and government programs and agencies, and deportations are sowing confusion, which puts a pall on investment, hiring and spending (...) Lawmakers need to get it together soon, or the economy will go from gagging to choking."
The economy appears to be gagging on the uncertainty created by the haphazard economic policymaking happening in D.C.,
We expect GDP to rebound by 4.5 percent annualized"
It is difficult for markets to get on with aggressive positioning given the risk of U.S. tariff policies turning on a dime,
I'm spending a lot of time talking to CEOs who are really trying to understand the consequence of some of this,
The threat of tariffs has run its course for now, so the next phase is to endure them,
That argument is waning and we keep seeing the price action move the other way,
The market was expecting something to happen that would mean that the tariffs wouldn’t be implemented … it comes on top of a strong whiff of stagflation – meaning lower growth and high inflation that has been apparent in a number of data releases and as we know tariffs will just accentuate the smell of stagflation,
Remember, he (was) saying on day one he would lower prices for American families, on day one,