Clearly, tariffs will impact the manufacturing sector harder than the overall economy, but the prospect of sharp tariff hikes is clearly going to be bad for the economy, and the unpredictability on this issue over the last few months makes things even worse,
This supports our view that there will be a goods-driven resurgence in core inflation in the second half of the year,
The fear here is that it's going to slow (economic) growth,
Equity valuations have been very elevated and there's been yellow flags all over the horizon given moves to cut government spending,
It seems that tariffs are definitely going to go through and it increases the chances of a real economic fallout. The markets are not psyched to stick around for that,
That's certainly a positive for Europe because it's unifying more of western Europe including Ukraine and drawing a line for the Russians, who have been very transparent that they want to recreate the old Soviet Union,
We are talking to everyone on this to see how this can be resolved,
Because of the tariffs imposed by the US, Americans will pay more for groceries, gas, and cars, and potentially lose thousands of jobs.”
We expect our vendors across our entire assortment will pass along some level of tariff costs to retailers, making price increases for American consumers highly likely,
There may well be short-term price movements,
We have been reserving warehousing capacity, looking to reserve space in ports to export the metals to Asia,
While Tuesday’s tariffs are a go, it remains very unclear on just how long these tariffs will remain,
We note that potential tariffs on Mexico and Canada pose significant risk to our NA production estimates and could create a supply shock similar to COVID,
Early in 2025, there are material and potentially disruptive changeovers at F (Ford Motor, Kentucky Truck) and TSLA (Tesla, Model Y globally), while GM (General Motors) is largely clear,
Those are categories where we'll try to protect pricing, but the consumer will likely see price increases over the next couple of days,
If there's a 25% tariff, those prices will go up,
It is difficult for markets to get on with aggressive positioning given the risk of U.S. tariff policies turning on a dime."
I'm spending a lot of time talking to CEOs who are really trying to understand the consequence of some of this...I think we're going to live with a slightly higher level of volatility."
I don't think China will buy any more U.S. farm products. The orders will go to South America. I think all in all, it's a lose-lose situation. Nobody gains anything."
Canada will not let this unjustified decision go unanswered,